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Jan 2, 2026 · The inverted yield curve can be observed when the yield spread between long-term yield and short-term yield is less than zero, as shown in the left two graphs. The gray bars …

Sep 30, 2025 · And below are charts of each yield curve inversion cycle, showing the period of inversion and subsequent recession. Click through the different tabs to see the chart for each …

Aug 7, 2024 · Visual Representation: Plots the yield spread on the chart, with clear visualization of positive and negative spreads. Inversion Highlighting: Background shading highlights periods …

4 hours ago · An app for exploring historic interest ratesOverview and Usage This is a web application for exploring US Treasury interest rates. You can view past interest rate yield …

The yield curve inversion ratio indicates the proportion of inverted yields in the 55 combinations of maturities. Long-term yields often represent inflation, while short-term yields represent interest …

These charts display the spreads between long-term and short-term US Government Bond Yields. A negative spread indicates an inverted yield curve. In such a scenario short-term interest …

Oct 30, 2025 · Yield curve inversion analysis for 2025. Learn how the 2-10 Treasury spread predicts recessions with 87.5% accuracy and what current data reveals for investors.

Jun 17, 2025 · The inverted curve has proven to be a reliable indicator of a recession. The inverted curve reflects bond investors’ expectations for a decline in longer-term interest rates.

An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term yield rates are lower than short-term rates and is often a precursor to a recession, having preceded nearly all recessions since 1960 by about a …